Clinton by 8-10%

That's my prediction.  The demographics are similar to Ohio's.  If anything, the people are a bit more conservative than in Ohio, which would favor Hillary, but with a somewhat larger African-American constituency, which would favor Obama.

The Democratic primaries this year, more than in any year I can remember, seem to be driven by demographics.  African-Americans and left-liberals for Obama, women and middle and working class for Hillary.  If the demographics play out roughly as they did in Ohio, it should be Hillary by 8-10.